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	<title>Smart Growth for Conservatives &#187; Zoning</title>
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		<title>What HUD&#8217;s Been Up To</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/09/06/what-huds-been-up-to/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Sep 2015 16:23:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fair housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn There has been some controversy about the federal government&#8217;s new “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing” (AFFH) rule. Supporters hope, and opponents fear, that the rule will integrate lily-white suburbs and eliminate exclusionary zoning. However, there is reason to believe that the &#8230; <a href="/2015/09/06/what-huds-been-up-to/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: normal;"><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p>There has been some controversy about the federal government&#8217;s new “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing” (AFFH) <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="https://www.federalregister.gov/articles/2015/07/16/2015-17032/affirmatively-furthering-fair-housing#h-13">rule.</a> Supporters hope, and opponents <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/420896/massive-government-overreach-obamas-affh-rule-out-stanley-kurtz">fear</a>, that the rule will integrate lily-white suburbs and eliminate exclusionary zoning. However, there is reason to believe that the rule&#8217;s impacts will be fairly minor.</p>
<p>The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) which enacted the rule, did so in order to implement sec. 808(d) of the Fair Housing Act, which requires federal agencies &#8220;to administer their programs&#8230;relating to housing and urban development&#8230;in a manner affirmatively to further&#8221; the policies of the Act—in other words, to affirmatively further fair housing.</p>
<p>In the past, HUD has sought to implement this statute by requiring grant recipients (such as local governments and public housing agencies) to draft an analysis of impediments (AI) to fair housing. An AI typically described impediments to racial integration, such as exclusionary zoning and racial disparities in mortgage lending. HUD decided that the AIs were not tremendously successful, because they did not contain enough data and were not adequately linked to other planning documents. (80 Fed. Reg. 42348).</p>
<p>The new rule requires grantees to create a new document called the &#8220;Assessment of Fair Housing&#8221; (AFH) every five years. The AFH will address a community’s barriers to integrated housing, such as &#8220;integration and segregation; racially or ethnically concentrated areas of poverty; disparities in access to opportunity, and disproportionate housing needs based on race, color [and other factors]&#8221; (80 Fed. Reg. 42355). The AFH will summarize any current litigation, analyze relevant data, and identify major factors limiting housing opportunity. The grant recipient must also set goals for overcoming the effects of these factors.To receive funding from HUD, a grantee must certify that it will affirmatively further fair housing, which means that it must promise to take meaningful actions to further these goals.  (80 Fed. Reg. 42316).  In other words, the grant recipient has to create paperwork stating: &#8220;This is why our city/county/area is more segregated than we would like, and this is what we would like to do about it.&#8221;<span id="more-2029"></span></p>
<p>According to HUD, the new rule will impose increased costs of data collection and paperwork upon municipalities, because municipalities must solicit more community participation than under the prior rule. HUD also suggests that the municipalities that have already been taking their AI obligations seriously &#8220;may experience a net decrease in administrative burden as a result of the revised process&#8221; (80 Fed. Reg. 42349).</p>
<p>The rule does not require any specific policies; instead, it just requires municipalities to describe the status quo, promise to adopt some sort of policy related to fair housing, and to justify those policies to HUD. Thus, it seems to me unlikely (though not impossible) that HUD will actually force significant changes in municipal policy.</p>
<p>In theory, HUD could keep saying no to a municipal AFH until the city or county adopts far-reaching policy changes, or could deny funding on the ground that the city has violated the promises in its AFH. But I doubt that this will occur, for two reasons. First, if HUD has not been using the AI process to remake cities and suburbs, I question whether it will have the willpower to use its new and improved procedural tools much more aggressively. Second, if HUD went to the edges of its authority, it would be risking fights in the courts and fights with Congress.</p>
<p><em>(Cross-posted from planetizen.com)</em></p>
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		<title>Kotkin and the &#8220;Assault on Suburbia&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/08/06/kotkin-and-the-assault-on-suburbia/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2015 17:40:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Demographics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Settlement patterns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nimbyism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[suburbs]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn A recent article by Joel Kotkin tries to stir up a stew of resentment about alleged “attacks on suburbia”.  Kotkin&#8217;s article is in black; my comments to the article are in gray. COUNTERING PROGRESSIVES’ ASSAULT ON SUBURBIA &#8230; <a href="/2015/08/06/kotkin-and-the-assault-on-suburbia/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">A recent article by Joel Kotkin tries to stir up a stew of resentment about alleged “attacks on suburbia”.  Kotkin&#8217;s article is in black; my comments to the article are in gray.</p>
<h2 id="article-title" style="font-weight: normal; color: #999999;">COUNTERING PROGRESSIVES’ ASSAULT ON SUBURBIA</h2>
<p class="author" style="font-weight: normal;"><strong style="font-weight: bold;">BY</strong> <a id="author_link" class="author_link" style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/authors/joel_kotkin/"><b>JOEL KOTKIN</b></a> – July 10, 2015</p>
<div id="author_holder" class="jqAA" style="font-weight: normal;">The next culture war will not be about issues like gay marriage or abortion, but about something more fundamental: how Americans choose to live. In the crosshairs now will not be just recalcitrant Christians or crazed billionaire racists, but the vast majority of Americans who either live in suburban-style housing or aspire to do so in the future. Roughly <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/002740-smart-growth-and-the-new-newspeak">FOUR IN FIVE HOME BUYERS</a> prefer a single-family home, but much of the political class increasingly wants them to live differently.</div>
<div id="article_body" class="article_body" style="font-weight: normal;">
<p>Theoretically, the suburbs should be the dominant politically force in America. Some 44 million Americans live in the core cities of America’s 51 major metropolitan areas, while nearly 122 million Americans live in the suburbs. In other words, <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/004453-urban-cores-core-cities-and-principal-cities">NEARLY THREE-QUARTERS</a> of metropolitan Americans live in suburbs.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">THIS IS BASED ON WENDELL COX’S DEFINITIONS OF CITIES AND SUBURBS, WHICH MIGHT NOT BE YOURS AND MINE.  BY HIS DEFINITION, MOST CORE CITIES (EXCEPT FOR THE MOST DENSE ONES) ARE “SUBURBS.”</em></p>
<p>Yet it has been decided, mostly by self-described progressives, that suburban living is too unecological, not mention too uncool, and even too white for their future America. <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.vox.com/2015/2/20/8072575/mumbai-fsi-reform">DENSITY</a> is their new holy grail, for both the world and the U.S. Across the country efforts are now being mounted—through HUD, the EPA, and scores of local agencies—to impede suburban home-building, or to raise its cost. Notably in coastal California, but other places, too, suburban housing is increasingly relegated to the affluent.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">DENSITY CAN MEAN MORE SUBURBAN HOUSING, NOT LESS.  FOR EXAMPLE, IF A SUBURB REDUCES ITS MINIMUM LOT SIZE REQUIREMENTS SO THAT YOU CAN BUILD 10 HOMES PER ACRE INSTEAD OF ONE, THAT’S MORE SUBURBAN HOMES. <span id="more-2012"></span></em></p>
<p>The obstacles being erected include incentives for density, urban growth boundaries, attempts to alter the <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.inquisitr.com/2165002/affirmatively-furthering-fair-housing-obama-has-a-plan-to-diversity-wealthy-white-neighborhoods/">RACE AND CLASS MAKEUP OF COMMUNITIES</a>,</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">THOSE “ATTEMPTS TO ALTER THE RACE AND CLASS MAKEUP OF COMMUNITIES” ARE ATTEMPTS TO MAKE SUBURBIA MORE ACCESSIBLE TO MINORITIES- THAT MEANS MORE SUBURBAN HOMES, NOT LESS.<br />
</em></p>
<p>and mounting environmental efforts to reduce sprawl. The EPA wants to designate even small, seasonal puddles as “wetlands,” creating a barrier to developers of middle-class housing, particularly in fast-growing communities in the Southwest. Denizens of free-market-oriented Texas could soon be experiencing what those in California, Oregon and other progressive bastions have long endured: environmental laws that make suburban development all but impossible, or impossibly expensive. Suburban family favorites like <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB114921327859169468">CUL-DE-SACS</a> are being banned under pressure from planners.</p>
<p><a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/obama-wants-to-reengineer-your-neighborhood/2015/06/15/f7c0c558-1366-11e5-9518-f9e0a8959f32_story.html">SOME CONSERVATIVES</a> rightly criticize such intrusive moves, but they generally ignore how Wall Street interests and some developers see forced densification as opportunities for greater profits, often sweetened by public subsidies.</p>
<p>Overall, suburban interests are poorly organized, particularly compared to well-connected density lobbies such as the developer-funded Urban Land Institute (ULI), which have opposed suburbanization for nearly 80 years.</p>
<p><strong style="font-weight: bold;">THE NEW POLITICAL LOGIC</strong></p>
<p>The progressives’ assault on suburbia reflects a profound change in the base of the Democratic Party. As recently as 2008, Democrats were competitive in suburbs, as their program represented no direct threat to residents’ interests. But with the election of Barack Obama, and the continued evolution of urban centers as places with little in the way of middle-class families, the left has become increasingly oriented towards dense cities, almost entirely ruled by liberal Democrats.</p>
<p>Obama’s urban policies are of a piece with those of “smart growth” advocates who want to curb suburban growth and make sure that all future development is as dense as possible.  Some advocate <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.stetson.edu/law/lawreview/media/urban-planning-and-the-american-family.pdf">RADICAL MEASURES</a> such as siphoning tax revenues from suburbs to keep them from “cannibalizing” jobs and retail sales.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">IF KOTKIN IS TALKING ABOUT REGIONAL TAX BASE SHARING, THE PRIMARY WINNERS FROM THESE POLICIES CAN BE SUBURBS. CITIES, LIKE THE MOST PROSPEROUS SUBURBS, HAVE A COMMERCIAL TAX BASE.  BUT HOUSING-ONLY SUBURBS HAVE NONE, AND ACTUALLY BENEFIT FROM REGIONAL TAX BASE SHARING.   IF HE IS TALKING ABOUT CITY COUNTY MERGERS, PLACES THAT DO THAT TEND TO BE RELATIVELY CONSERVATIVE CITIES LIKE JACKSONVILLE, FLA. NOT DETROIT OR SAN FRANCISCO.<br />
</em></p>
<p>Some even<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/01/11/what-will-save-the-suburbs/?_r=0"> FANTASIZE</a> about carving up the suburban carcass, envisioning three-car garages “subdivided into rental units with street front cafés, shops and other local businesses” while abandoned pools would become skateboard parks.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">AGAIN, MORE SUBURBAN HOUSING, NOT LESS.  BY THE WAY, IF YOU CLICK ON THE LINK, ARIEFF IS WRITING ABOUT FIXING UP SUBURBS FULL OF FORECLOSED HOMES, NOT THE KIND OF PLACE WHERE KOTKIN AND MOST OF HIS READERS LIVE.<br />
</em></p>
<p>At the end of this particular progressive rainbow, what will we find? Perhaps something more like one sees in European cities, where the rich and elite cluster in the center of town, while the suburbs become the “new slums” that urban elites pass over on the way to their summer cottages.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">THE WHOLE POINT OF ARIEFF’S ARTICLE IS TO PREVENT THE SUBURBS FROM BECOMING SLUMS.</em></p>
<p><strong style="font-weight: bold;">POLITICAL DANGERS</strong></p>
<p>The abandonment of the American Dream of suburban housing and ownership represents a repudiation of what Democrats once embraced and for which millions, including many minorities, continue to seek out. “A nation of homeowners,” Franklin D. Roosevelt asserted, “of people who own a real share in their land, is unconquerable.”</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">SINCE I’M NOT A DEMOCRAT I’M NOT GOING TO COMMENT ON WHAT HE THINKS THE DEMOCRATS ARE FOR.  LET THE DEMOCRATS FIGHT THEIR OWN BATTLES!</em></p>
<p>This rhetoric was backed up by action. It was FDR, and then Harry Truman, who backed the funding mechanisms—loans for veterans, for example—that sparked suburbia’s growth. Unlike today’s progressives, the old school thought it good politics to favor those things that most people aspire to achieve. Democrats <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.jstor.org/stable/2110335?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents">GAINED GROUND</a>in the suburbs, which before 1945 had been reliably and overwhelmingly Republican.</p>
<p>Even into the 1980s and beyond, suburbanites functioned less as a core GOP constituency than as the ultimate swing voters. As urban cores became increasingly lock-step liberal, and rural Democrats slowly <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://iowastartingline.com/2015/06/09/democrats-rural-vote-slipping-further-and-further-away/">FADED</a> towards extinction, the suburbs became the ultimate contested territory. In 2006, for example, Democrats won the<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/24289/subgroup-voting-patterns.aspx">MAJORITY</a> of suburban voters. In 2012, <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="https://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/ObamaCoalition-5.pdf">PRESIDENT OBAMA</a> did less well than in 2008, but still carried most inner and mature suburbs while Romney trounced him in the farther out exurbs. Overall Romney eked out a <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://elections.nbcnews.com/ns/politics/2012/all/president/#.VGJHvcmPOjY">SMALL</a> suburban margin.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">OBAMA STILL DID A HECK OF A LOT BETTER IN SUBURBIA THAN ANY DEMOCRAT DID IN THE 1980S.  KOTKIN’S DESCRIPTION OF ELECTORAL HISTORY IS RUBBISH.  SINCE KOTKIN IS FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, LET’S LOOK AT VENTURA COUNTY NEAR LOS ANGELES,  EVEN IN 2012, OBAMA GOT 52 PERCENT THERE.  HOW WELL DID MONDALE DO? 30 PERCENT.  EVEN IN THE MORE DEMOCRATIC YEAR IN 1976, CARTER GOT ONLY 44 PERCENT.</em><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">IN MORE REPUBLICAN ORANGE COUNTY, THE DEMOCRATIC VOTE SHARE INCREASED FROM 35 PERCENT IN 1976 TO 45 PERCENT IN 2012.</em></p>
<p>Yet by 2014, as the Democratic Party shifted further left and more urban in its policy prescriptions, these patterns began to turn.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">FURTHER LEFT THAN IN 2012?  SERIOUSLY?</em></p>
<p>In the <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/2014/US/house/exitpoll%20t">2014 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS</a>, the GOP boosted its suburban edge to 12 percentage points. The result was a thorough shellacking of the Democrats from top to bottom.<em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;"><br />
</em></p>
<p><strong style="font-weight: bold;">WILL DEMOGRAPHICS LEAD SUBURBS TO THE DEMOCRATS?</strong></p>
<p>Progressive theory today holds that the 2014 midterm results were a blast from the suburban past, and that the  key groups that will shape the metropolitan future—millennials and minorities—will embrace ever-denser, more urbanized environments. Yet in <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/003108-flocking-elsewhere-the-downtown-growth-story">THE LAST DECENNIAL ACCOUNTING</a>, inner cores gained 206,000 people, while communities 10 miles and more from the core gained approximately 15 million people.</p>
</div>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">NOT REALLY FALSE, BUT (1) THE ARTICLE KOTKIN LINKS TO (BY WENDELL COX) DEFINES “INNER CORES” REALLY REALLY NARROWLY (BASICALLY, AS JUST DOWNTOWN), AND (2) COX HIMSELF WRITES, IN THAT VERY SAME ARTICLE, ” THE CENTRAL CORES OF THE NATION’S LARGEST CITIES ARE DOING BETTER THAN AT ANY TIME IN RECENT HISTORY. “</em></p>
<div id="article_body" class="article_body" style="font-weight: normal;">
<p>Some suggest that the trends of the first decade of this century already are passé, and that more Americans are becoming born-again <em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">URBANISTAS</em>. Yet after a brief period of slightly more rapid urban growth immediately following the recession, U.S. suburban growth rates began to again surpass those of urban cores. An analysis by Jed Kolko, chief economist at the real estate website Trulia, <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/003139-even-after-housing-bust-americans-still-love-suburbs" target="_blank">REPORTS THAT BETWEEN 2011 AND 2012</a> less-dense-than-average Zip codes grew at double the rate of more-dense-than-average Zip codes in the 50 largest metropolitan areas. Americans, he wrote, “still love the suburbs.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">A FACT THAT DOESN’T TELL US AS MUCH AS YOU MIGHT THINK.  IF THE LESS DENSE THAN AVERAGE ZIP CODE HAS 100 PEOPLE AND GREW BY 5 PEOPLE, AND THE MORE DENSE ZIP CODE HAS 1000 PEOPLE AND GREW BY 40 PEOPLE, OBVIOUSLY THE MORE DENSE ZIP CODE HAD MORE GROWTH- BUT THE SMALLER ZIP CODE HAS A HIGHER PERCENTAGE GROWTH BECAUSE IT STARTED FROM A LOWER BASE.</em></p>
<p>What is also missed by the Obama administration and its allies is the suburbs’ growing diversity. If HUD wants to start attacking these communities, many of their targets will not be whites, but minorities, particularly successful ones, who have been flocking to suburbs for well over a decade.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">IS MAKING IT EASIER FOR MINORITIES TO LIVE IN A COMMUNITY “ATTACKING” IT? IT SEEMS TO ME THAT KOTKIN IS TRYING TO HAVE IT BOTH WAYS: BRAG (QUITE CORRECTLY) ABOUT SUBURBS’ GROWING DIVERSITY YET ATTACKING BUREAUCRATIC ATTEMPTS TO DIVERSIFY THE SUBURBS.  MAYBE HE’S ARGUING THAT HUD’S EFFORTS ARE UNNECESSARY, BUT THE PARANOID LANGUAGE ABOUT “ATTACKING THE SUBURBS” DOESN’T REALLY HELP HIS POINT. </em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">ALSO, KOTKIN KIND OF MISSES THE ISSUE OF RACIAL SEGREGATION OF SUBURBS- BLACKS LIVING IN SOME (MOSTLY POOR) SUBURBS LIKE FERGUSON AND WHITES LIVING IN RICHER ONES- BUT THAT’S A MUCH MORE COMPLEX DISCUSSION AND ONE THAT CAN’T BE RESOLVED BY PARTISAN ATTACKS,<br />
</em></p>
<p>This undermines absurd claims that the suburbs need to be changed in order to challenge the much detested reign of “<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/10/17/what-bill-oreilly-doesnt-get-about-the-racial-history-of-his-own-hometown/">WHITE PRIVILEGE</a>.” In reality<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://reimaginerpe.org/18-2/sullivan">, AFRICAN-AMERICANS</a> have been deserting core cities for years, largely of their own accord and through their own efforts: Today, only 16 percent of the Detroit area’s blacks live within the city limits.</p>
<p>These trends can also be seen in the largely immigrant ethnic groups. Roughly 60 percent of Hispanics and Asians, notes the Brooking Institution, already live in suburbs. Between the years 2000 and 2012, <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/004875-the-evolving-geography-asian-america-suburbs-are-new-high-tech-chinatowns">THE ASIAN POPULATION</a> in suburban areas of the nation’s 52 biggest metro areas grew by 66 percent, while that in the core cities expanded by 35 percent. Of the top 20 areas with over 50,000 in Asian population, all but two are suburbs.</p>
<p>Left to market forces and natural demographic trends, suburbs are becoming far more diverse than many cities, meaning that in turning on suburbia, progressives are actually stomping on the aspirations not just of privileged whites but those of many minorities who have worked hard to get there.</p>
<p>Another huge misreading of trends relates to another key Democratic constituency, the millennial generation.  Some progressives have embraced the dubious notion that millennials won’t buy cars or houses, and certainly won’t migrate to the suburbs as they marry and have families. But those <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.multifamilyexecutive.com/news/why-older-millennials-are-leaving-the-urban-core-and-younger-millennials-arent-far-behind_o">NOTIONS ARE RAPIDLY DISSOLVING</a> as millennials do all those things. They are even—horror of horrors!—shopping at <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://adage.com/article/cmo-strategy/surpriise-walmart-wins-millennials/299030/">WAL-MART</a>, and in greater percentages than older cohorts.</p>
<p>Moreover, notes <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/003139-even-after-housing-bust-americans-still-love-suburbs">KOLKO</a>, millennials are not moving to the denser inner ring suburban areas. They are moving to the “suburbiest” communities, largely on the periphery, where homes are cheaper, and often schools are better. When asked where their “ideal place to live,” according to a survey by <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/001511-the-millennial-metropolis">FRANK MAGID AND ASSOCIATES</a>, more millennials identified suburbs than previous generations. Another survey in the same year, this one by the <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.demandinstitute.org/blog/millennials-and-their-homes">DEMAND INSTITUTE</a>, showed similar proclivities.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">KIND OF CHERRY PICKING THE DATA- BUT THEN AGAIN, PEOPLE WHO TALK ABOUT MILLENIALS MOVING TO CITIES DO THE SAME, SO I CAN’T GET TOO INDIGNANT.  THE REALITY IS THAT THERE’S MORE THAN ENOUGH GROWTH TO GO AROUND</em>.  <em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">I’VE WRITTEN ABOUT MILLENIALS <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/66105">HERE</a> AND <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/77680/do-millennials-opt-cities-or-suburbs-yes">HERE</a>.</em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">I LOOKED UP THESE ALLEGED STUDIES AND COULDN’T FIND THE ACTUAL POLL QUESTIONS.  KOTKIN LINKS TO THE WEBPAGE OF MAGID, BUT I COULDN’T REALLY FIND THE ALLEGED SURVEY.  THE DEMAND INSTITUTE HAS A REPORT BUT I CAN’T FIND THE ACTUAL QUESTIONS WITH THE TECHNICAL DETAILS, JUST THEIR DESCRIPTION OF THE QUESTIONS.</em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">BY THE WAY, THE DEMAND INSTITUTE ALSO SAYS THAT THE RICHEST AREAS (“AFFLUENT METROBURBS”) HAS THE <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://demandinstitute.org/a-tale-of-2000-cities/">HIGHEST WALKSCORE</a> OF ANY OF SEVERAL SUBURBAN GROUPS LISTED.  SO EVEN KOTKIN’S OWN SOURCES DON’T BELIEVE THE MARKET VALUES SPRAWL.</em></p>
<p><strong style="font-weight: bold;">STIRRINGS OF REBELLION</strong></p>
<p>So if the American Dream is not dead among the citizens, is trying to kill it good politics? It’s clear that Democratic constituencies, notably millennials, immigrants and minorities, and increasingly gays—particularly gay couples—are flocking to suburbs. This is true even in metropolitan San Francisco, where 40 percent of same-sex couples live outside the city limits.</p>
<p>One has to wonder how enthusiastic these constituents will be when their new communities are “transformed” by federal social engineers. One particularly troubling group may be affluent liberals in strongholds such as <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.marinij.com/general-news/20141207/marin-voice-flawed-housing-plan-promotes-higher-densities">MARIN COUNTY</a>, north of San Francisco, long a reliable bastion of progressive ideology.</p>
<p>Forced densification–the ultimate goal of the “smart growth” movement—also has inspired opposition in Los Angeles, where<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.citylab.com/commute/2015/02/a-new-index-to-measure-sprawl-gives-high-marks-to-los-angeles/385559/">DENSIFICATION</a> is being opposed in many neighborhoods, as well as traditionally more conservative <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.ocregister.com/articles/council-660624-beach-city.html">ORANGE</a> Country. Similar opposition has arisen in <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/seven-corners-residents-seek-to-change-plan-to-revive-aging-suburb/2015/06/29/1d2b34d8-1e82-11e5-84d5-eb37ee8eaa61_story.html">NORTHERN VIRGINIA SUBURBS</a>, another key Democratic stronghold.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">THE ORANGE COUNTY LINK SHOWS THAT NIMBYS SOUGHT TO “REDUCE THE ALLOWABLE AMOUNT OF RESIDENTIAL APARTMENTS IN THE BEACH-EDINGER CORRIDOR SPECIFIC PLAN.”- IN OTHER WORDS, TO USE GOVERNMENT COERCION TO PREVENT THE MARKET FROM BUILDING STUFF.  THE ONLY “FORCING” GOING ON HERE IS THE KIND KOTKIN FAVORS.<br />
</em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">IN OTHER WORDS, KOTKIN’S POSITION IS CRYSTAL CLEAR: WHEN GOVERNMENT PREVENTS HOUSING IN EXURBIA, THAT’S BAD.  BUT WHEN GOVERNMENT PREVENTS HOUSING ANYWHERE ELSE, THAT’S “SELF-DETERMINATION.”  SO SPARE ME THE RHETORIC ABOUT CONSUMER PREFERENCES. </em></p>
<p>These objections may be dismissed as self-interested NIMBYism, but this misses the very point about why people move to suburbs in the first place. They do so precisely in to avoid living in crowded places. This is not anti-social, as is alleged, but an attempt—natural in any democracy—to achieve a degree of self-determination, notes historian Nicole Stelle Garrett.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">A FEW POINTS:</em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">1) THIS ISSUE HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH “CROWDED PLACES”. NIMBYISM EXISTS IN THE MOST URBAN PLACES AS WELL AS IN SUBURBS (NUMEROUS NYC EXAMPLES <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://ny.curbed.com/tags/nimbys">HERE</a>). </em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">2) AS FAR AS “SELF-DETERMINATION”, MR. KOTKIN IS CONFUSING WHAT PEOPLE DO WITH THEIR OWN PROPERTY WITH GOVERNMENT REGULATION OF OTHER PEOPLE’S NEARBY PROPERTY. IT IS NOT <strong style="font-weight: bold;">“SELF</strong>-DETERMINATION” TO INSIST THAT NO ONE NEAR YOU BE ALLOWED TO USE THEIR OWN PROPERTY TO BUILD APARTMENTS, ANY MORE THAN IT IS “SELF-DETERMINATION” TO INSIST THAT NO ONE NEAR YOU BE ALLOWED TO BE A SHIITE MUSLIM.<br />
</em></p>
<p>Aroused by what they perceive as threats to their preferred way of life, these modern pilgrims can prove politically effective. They’ve shown this muscle while opposing plans not only to increase the density in suburbs,</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">FOR THE 800TH TIME: “INCREASING THE DENSITY” MEANS “MORE PEOPLE GET TO LIVE THERE.”  IT SOUNDS LIKE WHAT KOTKIN IS FOR IS MOVING PEOPLE TO SUBURBS, BUT ONLY IN PLACES THAT AREN’T ACTUALLY NEAR ANY EXISTING SUBURBANITES.</em></p>
<p>and also balking at the shift of transportation funding from roads, which suburbanites use heavily, to rail transit. This was seen in<a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/voters-reject-transportation-tax/nQXfq/">ATLANTA</a> in 2012 when suburban voters rejected a mass transit plan being pushed by downtown elites and their planning allies. Opposition to expanding rail service has also surfaced in the <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.bethesdamagazine.com/Bethesda-Beat/2015/Documents-Reveal-Anti-Purple-Line-Lobbying-Strategy/">MARYLAND SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON</a>.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">CHERRY-PICKING THE DATA.  SOME SUBURBANITES WANT MORE RAIL SERVICE, OTHERS DON’T.  KOTKIN LINKS TO AN ARTICLE ON MARYLAND’S PROPOSED PURPLE LINE, WHOSE SUPPORTERS ARE <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.bethesdamagazine.com/Bethesda-Beat/2015/Purple-Line-Advocates-Sue-Town-Of-Chevy-Chase/">ALSO SUBURBANITES.  </a><br />
</em></p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">BY THE WAY, IT WASN’T JUST SUBURBANITES WHO OPPOSED THE 2012 TRANSIT REFERENDUM; <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2012/0801/How-tea-party-and-its-unlikely-allies-nixed-Atlanta-s-transit-tax">THE SIERRA CLUB AND THE NAACP </a>WERE AGAINST IT TOO BECAUSE IT GAVE TOO MUCH TO ROADS AND <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.ajc.com/news/news/state-regional-govt-politics/sierra-club-opposes-transportation-referendum/nQTRt/">NOT ENOUGH </a>TO TRANSIT.</em></p>
<p><strong style="font-weight: bold;">SUBURBS AND 2016 ELECTION</strong></p>
<p>To justify their actions against how Americans prefer to live, progressives will increasingly cite the environment. Climate change has become the “killer app” in the smart growth agenda and you can expect the drumbeat to get ever louder towards the <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.cop21.gouv.fr/en">PARIS CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE</a> this summer.</p>
<p>Yet the connection between suburbs and climate is not as clear as the smart growth crowd suggests.  <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.conference-board.org/publications/publicationdetail.cfm?publicationid=1384">MCKINSEY</a> and <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.technologyreview.com/news/415135/forget-curbing-suburban-sprawl/">OTHER STUDIES</a> found no need to change housing patterns to reduce greenhouse gases, particularly given improvements in both home and auto efficiency.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">AND GIVEN THAT GOVERNMENT GIVES EVERYONE A FREE PONY, NO ONE WOULD BUY HORSES.  (KIND OF IRONIC, BY THE WAY, SINCE THE PROGRESSIVES KOTKIN BEATS UP ON ARE THE ONES WHO TEND TO SUPPORT AUTO EFFICIENCY REGULATIONS).  I COULDN’T FIND THE MCKINSEY STUDY BECAUSE IT WAS BEHIND A PAYWALL, BUT THE SECOND STUDY HE CITES SAYS CO<sub>2</sub> EMISSIONS FROM PERSONAL TRAVEL WOULD DECLINE BY “8 TO 11 PERCENT BY 2050″, (NOT TOO DIFFERENT, BY THE WAY, FROM THE <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.smartgrowthamerica.org/documents/growingcoolerCH1.pdf">GROWING COOLER </a>STUDY) WHICH SOUNDS PRETTY GOOD TO ME COMPARED TO THE ALTERNATIVE OF EVER-INCREASING DRIVING AND CO2 EMISSIONS.<br />
</em></p>
<p>Yet so great is their animus that many anti-suburban activists seem to prefer stomping on suburban aspirations rather seeking ways to make them more environmental friendly.</p>
<p>As for the drive to undermine suburbs for reasons of class, in many ways the  assault on suburbia is, in reality,  a direct assault on our most egalitarian geography. An examination of American Community Survey Data for 2012 by the University of Washington’s <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/003921-inequality-largest-us-metropolitan-areas.">RICHARD MORRILL</a> indicates that the less dense suburban areas tended to have “generally less inequality” than the denser core cities; Riverside-San Bernardino, for example, is far less unequal than Los Angeles; likewise, inequality is less pronounced in Sacramento than San Francisco. Within the 51 metropolitan areas with more than 1 million people, notes demographer Wendell Cox, <a style="font-weight: bold; color: #6699cc;" href="http://www.newgeography.com/content/004229-where-inequality-is-worst-in-the-united-states.">SUBURBAN AREAS</a> were less unequal (measured by the GINI Coefficient) than the core cities in 46 cases.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">AND WHY IS THAT?  IS THAT JUST A LAW OF NATURE? NO- ITS BECAUSE OF NIMBYISM (THAT KEEPS HOUSING PRICES HIGH IN CENTRAL CITIES) AND EXCLUSIONARY ZONING (KEEPING THE MORE OUT OF SUBURBIA).</em></p>
<p>In the coming year, suburbanites should demand more respect from Washington, D.C., from the media, the political class and from the planning community. If people choose to move into the city, or favor density in their community, fine. But the notion that it is the government’s job to require only one form of development contradicts basic democratic principles and, in effect, turns even the most local zoning decision into an exercise in social engineering.</p>
<p><em style="font-style: italic; color: #999999;">FOR MOST OF THE PAST 80 YEARS, THE KIND OF DEVELOPMENT REQUIRED IN 90 PERCENT OF AMERICA HAS BEEN SUBURBAN.</em></p>
<p>As America’s majority, suburbanites should be able to deliver a counterpunch to those who seem determined to destroy their way of life. Irrespective of race or generation, those who live in the suburbs—or who long to do so—need to understand the mounting threat to their aspirations  Once they do, they could spark a political firestorm that could reshape American politics for decades to come.</p>
</div>
<p><em>(Cross-posted from mlewyn.wordpress.com)</em></p>
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		<title>The Failure of Preservation</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/08/06/the-failure-of-preservation/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/08/06/the-failure-of-preservation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2015 17:37:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[affordable housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn In an excellent blog post, Reuben Duarte explained that many big-city zoning disputes involve a conflict of visions: a &#8220;preservation camp&#8221; favors preserving neighborhood character at all costs, while an &#8220;affordability camp&#8221; favors construction of new housing in &#8230; <a href="/2015/08/06/the-failure-of-preservation/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: normal;"><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">In an excellent <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/80014">blog post</a>, Reuben Duarte explained that many big-city zoning disputes involve a conflict of visions: a &#8220;preservation camp&#8221; favors preserving neighborhood character at all costs, while an &#8220;affordability camp&#8221; favors construction of new housing in order to make the city more affordable.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Duarte write that the preservation camp&#8217;s interests &#8220;hover around preventing evictions of tenants in long-held residences, but also includes the topics of traffic (&#8220;this neighborhood can&#8217;t support more development, because, traffic!&#8221;), parking (replace &#8220;traffic&#8221; with &#8220;parking&#8221;), and neighborhood character (&#8220;building is too tall or too dense!&#8221; &#8220;Views!&#8221;).&#8221;</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">It seems to me that to the extent government uses preservation as a reason to exclude new housing, arguments based on &#8220;neighborhood character&#8221; fail on their own terms: either because limiting housing supply itself changes neighborhood character, or because it forces less exclusionary places to change their character.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Zoning restrictions designed to limit traffic create the second problem. For example, suppose a city freezes a neighborhood&#8217;s housing supply in order to limit traffic and parking. Other things being equal, fewer households mean fewer cars. So at first glance, this policy has no losers. But if a city or region is adding households, those new households have to go <em style="font-style: italic;">somewhere</em>. And if they don&#8217;t go to your neighborhood, they go to another neighborhood, adding cars (and thus traffic/parking problems) to <em style="font-style: italic;">that</em> neighborhood.<span id="more-2010"></span></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">To make matters worse, if the frozen neighborhood is more pedestrian-friendly than the &#8220;housing-receiving&#8221; neighborhood, freezing housing increases traffic everywhere. For example, suppose that the housing moratorium occurs in Pedtown, a neighborhood where 40 percent of households have no car, and 60 percent get to work without driving. The average household excluded by the moratorium moves to Sprawlville, a suburb where only 5 percent of the households have no car, and only 10 percent of them get to work without driving. Obviously, the new Sprawlville households are much more likely to drive cars throughout the region to work, thus increasing <em style="font-style: italic;">regional</em> traffic and parking problems.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">But zoning restrictions may also change the character of the neighborhood allegedly benefitting from them. Suppose a city freezes a neighborhood&#8217;s housing supply in order to prevent gentrification and the resulting increase in rents. As long as demand is stagnant (for example, in a declining neighborhood) this policy has no real effect: no one will want to build new housing anyhow. But when demand is growing (either because of rising city population or rising city incomes) rents are likely, all else being equal*, to rise in the absence of new construction. If rising rents lead to more evictions, freezing supply is actually likely to lead to <strong style="font-weight: bold;">more</strong> evictions, not fewer evictions. (Of course, I am assuming that the new construction actually increases the neighborhood housing supply, which is not always the case. A new building that merely replaces an old building is obviously more problematic.)**</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">And if rents rise, that in turn defeats attempts to preserve the intangible &#8220;character&#8221; of the neighborhood. Even if a neighborhood&#8217;s housing stock is frozen in amber, its character will be very different if it becomes more expensive. At a minimum, the inhabitants will be richer. And in turn, this reality will affect the age, race, and even religion of the neighborhood&#8217;s inhabitants, to the extent that some races, ages, and religions have more money than others. If the neighborhood has commercial blocks, the shops may look very different if the neighborhood gets wealthier. For example, a street catering to wealthy 50 year olds will have somewhat different shops than one catering to not-so-wealthy 25 year olds.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Moreover, if housing restrictions in one neighborhood cause new housing to be built elsewhere in a region, the &#8220;receiving&#8221; neighborhood&#8217;s character changes. Going back to Pedtown and Sprawlville: if Sprawlville was a rural, sparsely populated suburb in 2000, and zoning restrictions in Pedtown cause dozens of new subdivisions to be built in Sprawlville, obviously Sprawlville will feel very different in 2015. Thus, the restrictions in Pedtown are a classic example of a &#8220;beggar thy neighbor&#8221; policy—that is, a policy that shifts social harm from one neighborhood to another, rather than actually reducing the harm.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">In sum, government sometimes restricts housing to preserve neighborhood character—but if those restrictions keep out new people and raise rents, that neighborhood&#8217;s character will still change (albeit in different ways), and shifting populations will change the character of other neighborhoods.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">*One huge caveat: this is not the case where supply creates its own demand: that is, where the new housing is so desirable that it not only commands higher rents than the existing housing supply, but also makes the neighborhood as a whole more popular, thus attracting new people even into the existing units. Certainly, a few neighborhoods have become much more desirable in recent decades (for example, New York&#8217;s Williamsburg and Greenpoint)—so it could be argued that new housing in Williamsburg and Greenpoint is undesirable because it creates such demand. But this would only be the case if the new housing actually caused the increased demand rather than being a result of the increased demand. Moreover, housing restrictions based on this argument still create the &#8220;beggar thy neighbor&#8221; problem: if new housing is shifted to another neighborhood or suburb, how do we know that the new housing won&#8217;t make <em style="font-style: italic;">that</em> neighborhood more desirable?</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">**In addition, government can try to avoid this problem by limiting evictions in other ways—but this seems to me to be a separate issue.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;"><em>(Cross-posted from planetizen.com)</em></p>
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		<title>Not Racist- But Similar to Racism</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/08/06/not-racist-but-similar-to-racism/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/08/06/not-racist-but-similar-to-racism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Aug 2015 17:35:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Land use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[affordable housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=2008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn Is zoning racist? After a committee designed to study Seattle&#8217;s zoning codes suggested some significant reforms to the city&#8217;s code, Mayor Ed Murray said: &#8220;In Seattle, we’re also dealing with a pretty horrific history of zoning based on race, &#8230; <a href="/2015/08/06/not-racist-but-similar-to-racism/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: normal;"><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Is zoning racist? After a committee designed to study Seattle&#8217;s zoning codes <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/79327" target="_blank">suggested some significant reforms to the city&#8217;s code</a>, Mayor Ed Murray <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://crosscut.com/2015/07/9-words-that-shook-seattle-why-our-zonings-roots-arent-racial/">said</a>: &#8220;In Seattle, we’re also dealing with a pretty horrific history of zoning based on race, and there’s residue of that still in place.&#8221; Even if this remark is factually true, it doesn&#8217;t mean that today&#8217;s zoning is racist: low-density zoning exists in black neighborhoods as well as white ones, and opposition to changing such zoning crosses color lines.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">But it seems to me that even though zoning is not consistently or intentionally racist, zoning is similar to racist housing discrimination (or &#8220;RHD&#8221; for short) in a few ways. Both involve a politically influential dominant class (in one case, whites generally; in the other case, homeowners of all colors) who have the votes to impose their will on the political process. In both situations, the dominators use their political power to exclude someone else from its neighborhood; racists usually seek to exclude blacks, while pro-zoning homeowners usually seek to exclude new residents regardless of color (to the extent that zoning is designed to exclude housing smaller or more compact than the status quo, such as smaller houses or multifamily dwellings).*</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Both RHD and low-density zoning do, on balance, exclude blacks more than whites—though of course RHD does so much more consistently. One purpose of zoning is to raise housing prices (or, as courts and homeowners euphemistically say, &#8220;values&#8221;). And higher housing prices mean higher rents, which means that everyone has to pay more for less. If you don&#8217;t have any money, you are obviously going to suffer more from that policy than someone who has plenty of money, since the difference between having a small apartment and sleeping on the street is a bit more significant than the difference between having a 8000-square-foot mansion and a 12,000-square-foot mansion. And since blacks tend to have <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://inequality.org/poverty-matter-black-white/">less money</a> than whites, on balance blacks are going to suffer a little more than whites from these policies, just as they are going to suffer more from any tax imposed without ability to pay (for example, an increase in bus fares).**<span id="more-2008"></span></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">RHD and low-density zoning are motivated by the same concern: fear of change in neighborhood character. Homeowners believe that new housing will change neighborhood character—and even if such housing does not have any tangible negative impact, this of course is the case. A neighborhood with ten houses per acre obviously looks and feels different than a neighborhood with one house per acre.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">I suspect that racists similarly believe that an influx of blacks into their neighborhood will lead to crime, poor schools, and of course lower property prices—but even if they didn&#8217;t believe this, racists might believe that a neighborhood where they have to look at black faces on a regular basis has a different character from one where they don&#8217;t. Certainly, other forms of illegal discrimination affect neighborhood character: for example, a neighborhood full of Orthodox Jews has a very different character than an equally affluent neighborhood that does not, in that stores will be closed on the Jewish Sabbath and restaurants will comply with traditional Jewish dietary laws.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">More importantly, both RHD and low-density zoning are rational for an individual neighborhood but perhaps irrational for a city, region or nation as a whole. A racist in the pre-Fair Housing era no doubt wanted to live in an all-white neighborhood, and even non-racist homeowners might have rationally favored RHD because they did not want to take a chance that integration would lead to unwelcome change. But the widespread adoption of fair housing legislation suggests that many whites did not welcome the nationwide results of rigid segregation.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Low-density zoning is more clearly rational for an individual neighborhood. After all, what homeowner would not like his home to be worth a little more, and what homeowner really wants his neighborhood to change (even in intangible ways)? But if no one liberalizes their zoning enough to accommodate new residents, rents explode, and a city&#8217;s prospective residents are either priced out of the city or forced to live on the streets.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">So what? Why should we care about these similarities? It seems to me that if RHD and zoning have similar results, maybe they should be attacked with similar remedies. RHD was not eliminated by allowing neighborhoods to discriminate a tiny bit less than they had discriminated in the past or by requiring only a few neighborhoods to cease discrimination. Instead, Congress and state legislatures responded with a meat ax: the Fair Housing Act generally prohibits housing discrimination, and has only a few narrow exemptions. Maybe state legislatures in high-cost states should use a similar meat ax in addressing zoning.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">*As opposed to commercial and industrial enterprises, or houses larger than the neighborhood norm.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">**On the other hand, to the extent that higher home prices increase property tax revenue, and property tax revenue means better government services, poorer people (and thus blacks) may get a countervailing benefit from better government services—if the extra revenue goes to services that disproportionately benefit the poor (a very big IF).</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;"><em>(Cross-posted from planetizen.com)</em></p>
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		<title>When States Should Blow the Whistle</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/05/11/when-states-should-blow-the-whistle/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/05/11/when-states-should-blow-the-whistle/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2015 15:04:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Land use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax base]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[states]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taxes]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1950</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn Generally, states limit local governments&#8217; means of raising tax revenue. Both Democratic and Republican governors consider it their duty to micromanage the property tax rates of local governments, and local governments can rarely institute a new type &#8230; <a href="/2015/05/11/when-states-should-blow-the-whistle/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p>Generally, states limit local governments&#8217; means of raising tax revenue. Both <a href="http://www.ontheissues.org/Governor/Andrew_Cuomo_Tax_Reform.htm">Democratic</a> and <a href="http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2010/07/gov_christie_signs_2_percent_p.html">Republican</a> governors consider it their duty to micromanage the property tax rates of local governments, and local governments can rarely institute a new type of tax without state consent. On the other hand, local governments tend to have free rein in land use matters; even relatively activist state governments tend to allow cities to choke off housing supply without state interference. Is this really the right way to do things?</p>
<p>Just as we ask ourselves, &#8220;When does the state have any business interfering with individual rights?&#8221;, we should also ask ourselves, &#8220;When does the state have any business interfering with a municipal government?&#8221; And just as states are most likely to get involved where an individual hurts other individuals, a state should be most willing to get involved where a city&#8217;s action affects people living outside the city—for example, the &#8220;tragedy of the commons&#8221; situation where a policy is rational for each individual city, but is not rational for the region as a whole.</p>
<p>Applying this principle, I am not sure why states should limit municipal taxing powers. When a city raises taxes, it only hurts itself, because it takes the risk that people will flee that city in search of less restrictive cities. And if several cities and towns in a region raise taxes, such tax increases become even less rational for a town that refuses to raise taxes, since that town can gain residents by being a tax haven.</p>
<p>By contrast, environmental issues are especially well suited for state (and for that matter, federal) regulation, because one city&#8217;s policies might harm residents of nearby municipalities. For example, suppose that a suburb allows unlimited development of wetlands within its borders. If the absence of wetlands <a href="http://water.epa.gov/type/wetlands/flood.cfm">causes </a>increased flooding, the resulting damage may cross municipal borders and harm residents of nearby towns. Or if a suburb decides to build high-speed <a href="http://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2013/3/4/the-stroad.html">stroads</a> and starve public transit so that its jobs are inaccessible by public transit, reverse commuters in other municipalities will have to drive to reach those jobs, causing pollution not just in the suburb in question, but also in their own neighborhoods. Thus, states should be responsible for wetlands regulation, and should perhaps play some rule in ensuring that suburban employment centers are transit-accessible.<span id="more-1950"></span></p>
<p>What about zoning? It might, at first glance, seem that a community that chooses to radically limit new construction (as, for example, San Francisco has a <a href="https://twitter.com/michaelprhodes/status/597140124598566912">habit</a> of doing) only harms itself. But zoning might be a &#8220;tragedy of the commons&#8221; situation—where if each individual municipality does what is best for its existing citizens, it harms not just itself, but also the entire region. From the standpoint of an individual municipality&#8217;s homeowners, restrictive zoning makes sense: constricting the housing supply raises property values, avoids the perceived <a href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/67772">externalities</a> caused by new residents, and keeps out poor people who can&#8217;t afford to pay for the town’s houses. By contrast, a town that fails to play the game of exclusion has lower property values and attracts more poor people, thus causing the town to have a smaller tax base and worse schools, thus making the town less desirable in all kinds of ways. So if enough cities overuse their power to zone, every other town in the region is forced to do the same or face ruin.</p>
<p>But when every town engages in restrictive zoning, housing prices throughout the region explode; the poor sleep on the streets, while the middle class moves to cheaper regions. In fact, the national economy may suffer: if an expensive region is one of the nation’s more productive regions, that region’s<a href="http://www.law.yale.edu/documents/pdf/LEO/LEO_Schleicher_City_Unplanning.pdf"> loss of talent</a> may diminish national economic output by making it harder for businesses to attract non-wealthy employees.</p>
<p>In such situations, zoning becomes an all or nothing game: the only way for the state to prevent the regional and national harms resulting from high housing prices is to limit everyone’s capacity to zone.</p>
<p><em>(cross-posted from planetizen.com)</em></p>
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		<title>Libertarian-Friendly Drought Control</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/04/14/libertarian-friendly-drought-control/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2015/04/14/libertarian-friendly-drought-control/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2015 15:25:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Land use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Streets, roads, highways]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drought]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[land use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lawn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[setback]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[water]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1910</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Michael Lewyn In response to California&#8217;s drought, Gov. Jerry Brown recently issued an executive order proposing a wide variety of water restrictions. For example, paragraph 3 of the order provides that the state Department of Water Resources shall &#8220;lead &#8230; <a href="/2015/04/14/libertarian-friendly-drought-control/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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<p><em>by Michael Lewyn</em></p>
<p>In response to California&#8217;s drought, Gov. Jerry Brown recently issued an <a href="http://gov.ca.gov/docs/4.1.15_Executive_Order.pdf">executive order </a>proposing a wide variety of water restrictions. For example, paragraph 3 of the order provides that the state Department of Water Resources shall &#8220;lead a statewide initiative… to collectively replace 50 million square feet of lawns and ornamental turf with drought tolerant landscapes.&#8221; In particular, the state will fund &#8220;lawn replacement programs in underserved communities.&#8221; It is not clear from the order whether the state plans to mandate replacement of every square inch of lawn in California, or merely to fund local governments who wish to do so.</p>
<p>This initiative certainly seems to have reasonable goals. In fact, <a href="http://www.epa.gov/WaterSense/pubs/outdoor.html">one-third</a> of all residential water use involves landscape irrigation of some sort, and it seems to me that lawn-watering is a wasteful use of water compared to agriculture or bathing or drinking. But cities and states can reduce lawn-watering through means less expensive and coercive than policing individual consumption or even spending taxpayer money on lawn reform.</p>
<p>Some local zoning codes <a href="http://www.nashobapublishing.com/ci_26168304/california-homeowners-warned-about-brown-lawns">require </a>homeowners to have lawns or even to water them. A drought-sensitive local government would of course eliminate such restrictions—but since not every local government is equally enlightened, California could both reduce water use and expand homeowners&#8217; rights by amending its zoning enabling legislation to prohibit local governments from enacting such restrictions. Statewide legislation would eliminate the primary excuse for lawn-watering regulations: that green lawns maintain property values. If state laws make green lawns scarce, homeowners are less likely to view green lawns as necessary for neighborhood desirability.<span id="more-1910"></span></p>
<p>But even local governments without such restrictions encourage lawn creation (and thus, lawn-watering) by providing that homes and businesses be set back one or two dozen feet from streets and sidewalks. If you can’t build a house next to the sidewalk, you must put something else next to it—and that something is usually either an unsightly parking lot or a lawn.</p>
<p>So government could reduce the number of lawns and expand landowner rights simply by eliminating such &#8220;setback&#8221; rules and allowing landowners to build next to the street. Building that front the street have no space for lawns, and thus are likely to use less water.</p>
<p>In addition to reducing water consumption by reducing the number of lawns, such &#8220;zero lot line&#8221; construction would make commercial areas more pedestrian-friendly: setbacks force pedestrians to waste time walking across lawns and parking lots, thus making pedestrian commutes slightly longer and more inconvenient. In addition, setbacks reduce the amount of commerce and housing that can be built on a given plot of land, thus artificially reducing the number of jobs and residences on such land. Fewer jobs and residents per parcel mean less walkability: for example, if a office building is near a train stop, fewer tenants per office building means fewer employees who can walk to the train.*</p>
<p>Most commentary on California&#8217;s drought has focused on state control of water use—but in fact, some regulatory reforms can both reduce water use and reduce government intrusiveness.</p>
<p>*I note in passing that I addressed the non-water-related harms caused by setback requirements, as well as government justifications for such rules, in <a href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/62141">this</a> post.</p>
<p>(Cross-posted from planetizen.com)</p>
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		<title>Critiquing the &#8220;Twenty Percent&#8221; Argument</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/12/04/critiquing-the-twenty-percent-argument/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/12/04/critiquing-the-twenty-percent-argument/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2014 19:01:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Automobility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mass transit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Streets, roads, highways]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Schools]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subsidies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[transit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1762</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(Cross-posted from www.planetizen.com) I just received a email newsletter raising the decades-old argument that public transit gets too much federal support because transit gets 20 percent of federal funding for surface transportation, but its share of trips and transportation mileage &#8230; <a href="/2014/12/04/critiquing-the-twenty-percent-argument/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(Cross-posted from www.planetizen.com)</p>
<p>I just received a email newsletter raising the decades-old argument that public transit gets too much federal support because transit gets 20 percent of federal funding for surface transportation, but its share of trips and transportation mileage is far lower.</p>
<p>One obvious retort to this argument is environmental: highway spending, by encouraging automobile travel to car-dependent places, increases vehicle miles traveled (VMT), thus increasing pollution—not just greenhouse gas pollution, but also more heavily regulated types of pollution such as carbon monoxide and particulate matter. To the extent that highway spending increases such social harms, one dollar of spending may be one dollar too much, let alone the tens of billions of dollars currently devoted to roads.</p>
<p>In addition, highway spending can create other negative side effects: for example, where jobs track new highways but public transit does not, a &#8220;spatial mismatch&#8221; exists between the pre-highway population and jobs; population was located in more urban areas, but the highway has shifted jobs into outer suburbs and exurbs. To the extent people react to this spatial mismatch by buying cars and driving more, they have suffered additional costs caused by government action. To the extent people too poor to buy cars cannot reach work, they have suffered an even more severe cost: the loss of job opportunities.</p>
<p>Furthermore, the &#8220;20 percent&#8221; argument overlooks both the impact of past spending and the existence of current non-transportation policies that effectively subsidize highways and sprawl.</p>
<p>In the first half of the 20th century, government at all levels spent liberally on highway, but streetcars (the leading mode of public transit in most of the United States) were a private industry, which meant that government’s job was to tax and regulate it. So in many places, roads got not only the money devoted to roads, but also the implicit subsidy that government created by taxing and regulating the competition. And over the course of the 20th century, transit received far less than 20 percent of government transportation spending.<span id="more-1762"></span></p>
<p>What about the past 50 years? Even if one pretends that history began with the urban transit legislation of the 1960s, government effectively subsidizes highways and sprawl in at least two major respects: zoning and education.</p>
<p>As a rule, zoning effectively makes sprawl easy and infill development difficult. If a developer builds a subdivision in the middle of nowhere, it will usually be able to get government permission because there will be no neighbors around to object, and municipal legislators will thus decide that the project is noncontroversial.</p>
<p>By contrast, if someone wants to densify an existing neighborhood, <a href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/61654">there will be plenty of neighbors </a>around to object. As a result, community opposition will often lead cities to reject new development, since neighbors of a project vote and the project’s potential residents and customers do not. Even where infill development is allowed, cities limit density through minimum lot size, <a href="http://shoup.bol.ucla.edu/HighCost.pdf">parking</a> and setback requirements, all of which limit the number of residences, shops or offices that can be built per acre of land.</p>
<p>Because transit systems tend to be centered on downtown, limitations on infill development force new housing into areas that are automobile-dependent. Thus, zoning laws encourage driving and discourage transit use, thereby increasing VMT and increasing gas tax revenue. Thus, the costs of zoning are an (admittedly nonquantifiable) subway for highways.</p>
<p>The public education system also indirectly subsidizes highways. American school attendance laws require children to attend public schools in the municipality of their residence. Municipalities which are near downtown (and thus likely to have the best transit service) tend to be<a href="http://www.planetizen.com/node/65386"> demographically diverse.</a> Because the public education system tends to have difficulty educating children from disadvantaged backgrounds, such jurisdictions tend to have less prestigious public schools than car-oriented suburbs. Thus, American parents are more likely to favor car-oriented places than would be the case in a nation without government-run schools (or one where school attendance zones were drawn differently), which in turn means more driving and more gas tax revenue. This subsidy too is difficult to quantify, because not all government spending on education is on prestigious suburban schools.</p>
<p>In sum, government favors driving in a wide variety of ways beyond current spending on highways. As a result, the real amount of social spending and regulation favoring driving is far beyond the billions of dollars currently spent on highways, which in turn may mean that the real “spending gap” between highways and transit may exceed the 4-1 ratio between highway and transit spending.</p>
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		<title>When Nuisance Law Is A Nuisance</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/11/05/when-nuisance-law-is-a-nuisance/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/11/05/when-nuisance-law-is-a-nuisance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2014 14:24:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Land use]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[density]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nimby]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuisance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1742</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(cross-posted from planetizen.com) In the recent case of Loughead v. Buckhead Investment Partners, a group of Houston, Texas, homeowners filed a common-law nuisance action to prevent a developer from building an apartment building in their neighborhood; the plaintiffs asserted (among other &#8230; <a href="/2014/11/05/when-nuisance-law-is-a-nuisance/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: normal;">(cross-posted from planetizen.com)</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">In the recent case of <em style="font-style: italic;">Loughead v. Buckhead Investment Partners</em>, a group of Houston, Texas, homeowners filed a common-law nuisance action to prevent a developer from building an apartment building in their neighborhood; the plaintiffs asserted (among other claims) that the apartments caused increased traffic—a claim that would be true of any new housing. Under the law of nuisance, a landowner may recover damages whenever another person uses their land in a manner that <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.dummies.com/how-to/content/nuisance-law-enjoying-property-without-unreasonabl.html">causes substantial, unreasonable harm </a>to other landowners. A jury <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/real-estate/article/Ashby-ruling-allows-high-rise-to-go-forward-5447064.php">awarded</a> the plaintiffs damages in December 2013, and the verdict will be appealed.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">The landowners sued for nuisance because Houston has no zoning code and the city could therefore not legally exclude the apartments—but at common law, something permitted by zoning can still be an actionable nuisance. So if the Loughead action is upheld on appeal, landowners all over the country may become more willing to file nuisance actions to keep out multifamily housing (or for that matter, any other allegedly undesirable land use).</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">It seems to me that states should prohibit nuisance claims against new multifamily housing (either through state legislation or through judicial decisionmaking), for three reasons.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">First, the public policy in favor of affordable rental housing dictates against such actions. Throughout the United States, there is a rental housing shortage. Between 2000 and 2013, median household income has increased by 25.4 percent, while rent has <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.zillow.com/research/rent-affordability-2013q4-6681/">increased</a> by 52.8 percent. The explosion in rental costs has not been limited to gentrifying, traditionally high-cost cities such as San Francisco and New York. For example, in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, rents increased from 20 percent of household income in 1979 to 35.2 percent in 2013. The explosion in rents is in large part the result of increased demand for rental property; tighter credit standards and stagnant wages have kept would-be homeowners from buying houses and forced them to rent instead. The supply of multifamily housing has increased, but not fast enough to keep up with increased demand: the national rental vacancy rate (8.3 percent) is at its <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/jchs.harvard.edu/files/sonhr14-color-ch5.pdf">lowest point since 2000</a>.<span id="more-1742"></span></p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">If (as in the Loughead action) homeowners are allowed to use nuisance law to keep multifamily housing out of their neighborhoods, the shortage of rental housing is likely to get worse, causing rents to continue rising. If would-be landlords can only build in places far from single-family homes, the possible supply of land available for multifamily housing will decrease, and the number of new units will decrease.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Second, the public interest in promoting infill should bar such nuisance suits. Because most land is zoned for single-family housing, most of urban America is near a single-family neighborhood. In Houston, for example, single-family housing <a style="color: #1677a7;" href="http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/tss/aboutus/staff/bonan/ecoclim/1sted/Chapter14.pdf">takes up</a> 67 percent of all land and 95 percent of land used for housing. Even in relatively dense Boston, single-family housing takes up 56 percent of all land and 88 percent of land used for housing. So if apartments near single-family homes were a nuisance, almost every new apartment building in the United States would be a nuisance. If apartments could be built at all, they could only be built in “greenfield” locations—that is, in exurban places far from existing development. But the public interest favors building multifamily housing in existing urban neighborhoods and inner suburbs, especially if those neighborhoods are near downtown and/or densely developed. Existing neighborhoods near downtown tend to be less dependent on automobiles than greenfields, for two reasons. First, transit networks have historically been centered near downtown business districts so neighborhoods near downtowns tend to have the most convenient transit service and the highest transit ridership. Second, compact neighborhoods tend to have higher transit ridership than thinly populated places; if only a few houses can be built on a block near public transit, only a few houses can access such transit. Neighborhoods near downtown tend to be more compact, and thus can support more transit service. It follows that if new housing is built in unpopulated greenfields, the residents of this new housing will be more likely to drive and less likely to use other modes of transportation, thus increasing citywide congestion and pollution. And since renters tend to be poorer than owners, they are less likely to be able to afford the added costs that come from living in automobile-dependent neighborhoods.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Third, in cities with zoning, the public interest in orderly planning should support strict limits on nuisance actions designed to stop new development. (Obviously, this argument does not apply to Houston, which lacks zoning.) One purpose of zoning is to allow cities to create an orderly plan of development for the entire city, as opposed to just one land owner or group of landowners. But if anyone who dislikes an apartment building (or any other controversial land use) can file for nuisance, the location of land uses can be determined by a small number of landowner plaintiffs and by juries, neither of whom are as likely to be as familiar with citywide interests as a city council or zoning board.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">Admittedly, land use in cities with zoning is already heavily influenced by “Not In My Back Yard” (NIMBY) activists. So why is nuisance NIMBYism worse than zoning NIMBYism? Zoning decisions are usually made by elected officials, who are unlikely to limit development unless some critical mass of NIMBYs want to stop it. By contrast, just one landowner can file a nuisance action, even if the landowner’s own neighborhood does not oppose the new development. So if nuisance actions are used to create yet another form of “NIMBY veto,” citywide interests become even less important in the land use process.</p>
<p style="font-weight: normal;">The Loughead plaintiffs argue that their suit is necessary to prevent their neighborhood from being deluged with traffic. I don’t find this argument persuasive even in Houston, because if new residents and their cars are kept out of one neighborhood, they will merely create traffic somewhere else, and will probably wind up driving their cars through the plaintiffs’ neighborhood. But even if this argument is sensible in Houston, it does not justify nuisance actions in cities with zoning. In those places, arguments about traffic, noise, etc., should be made before city councils and zoning boards, who can balance neighborhood concerns against broader citywide interests.</p>
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		<title>In Defense of Airbnb</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/10/23/in-defense-of-airbnb/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/10/23/in-defense-of-airbnb/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2014 16:10:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Lewyn]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[airbnb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1729</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[(cross-posted from cnu.org, with some modifications) The public benefits of Airbnb (a website allowing people to rent out rooms in their houses and apartments) seem fairly obvious to me. Visitors and new movers can pay less for their lodging by &#8230; <a href="/2014/10/23/in-defense-of-airbnb/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>(cross-posted from cnu.org, with some modifications)</p>
<p>The public benefits of <a href="www,airbnb.com%20">Airbnb </a>(a website allowing people to rent out rooms in their houses and apartments) seem fairly obvious to me. Visitors and new movers can pay less for their lodging by renting a room in someone&#8217;s apartment than by renting a hotel room, thus enabling longer trips, thus enabling city economies to benefit from more tourism. So it might appear that Airbnb might make housing more affordable, at least for visitors and movers.</p>
<p>But the hotel lobby and a variety of other opponents have sought to shut down Airbnb, especially in high-cost cities like New York and San Francisco where it competes most effectively with hotels.</p>
<p>For example, Sen. Dianne Feinstein (whose is in the <a href="www.csmonitor.com/Business/2012/1025/Who-are-the-10-richest-members-of-Congress/Sen.-Dianne-Feinstein-D-Calif.">hotel business</a>)* has written an op-ed <a href="www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/openforum/article/Don-t-hand-San-Francisco-over-to-Airbnb-5835325.php?cmpid=twitter-premium&amp;t=849b8e1fa44832b814">arguing</a> that Airbnb allows landlords to &#8220;vacate their units and rent them out to hotel users, further increasing the cost of living.&#8221;</p>
<p>In other words, Airnbnb opponents see lodging as a zero-sum game: what benefits visitors must harm existing renters. By this logic, govenrment should just outlaw hotels, since every hotel unit is a potential apartment.</p>
<p>More seriously, the zero-sum argument assumes that every room rented to a visitor would otherwise be rented to a roommate. But the two &#8220;products&#8221; are not reasonably interchangeable; roommates involve advantages (such as familiarity and a regular rent check every month) and disadvantages (such as a 365-day relationship) that differ from those of Airbnb &#8220;temporary roommates.&#8221;**</p>
<p>Moreover, the supply of Airbnb rooms is actually pretty limited; for example, I just searched for Airbnb rooms in San Francisco renting for under $100 (and thus cheaper than most private hotels) and found a grand total of 486 rooms (not counting entire apartments, which compete more with ordinary landlords than with hotels). When I searched for rooms cheaper than the cheapest hotel on <a href="www.hotels.com">hotels.com</a>, I found only 74 rentals- hardly enough to affect housing prices.  In less expensive cities, Airbnb is even less popular and thus even less likely to affect housing supply; for example, in Houston, I found only 139 rentals for less than $100.<span id="more-1729"></span></p>
<p>Feinstein argues that renters should at least be kept out of single-family neighborhoods, because temporary renters would create &#8220;a blanket commercialization of our neighborhoods. &#8221; This argument makes no sense to me; renting a room in a house for a night is no more &#8220;commercial&#8221; than renting the whole house for a year.  In both situations, someone is paying for lodging.</p>
<p>*In the interests of full disclosure, I note that I am an occasional Airbnb customer and thus have a small financial interest in this issue myself).</p>
<p>**I realize that this argument is slightly less absurd when the Airbnb host is renting out an entire house or apartment, since this &#8220;product&#8221; is more similar to a traditional tenancy.</p>
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		<title>Car Dependent by Design</title>
		<link>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/05/21/car-dependent-by-design/</link>
		<comments>http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/2014/05/21/car-dependent-by-design/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2014 12:59:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jabacon@baconsrebellion.com]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Settlement patterns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zoning]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.smartgrowthforconservatives.com/?p=1211</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Andrew Price I am writing a series of blog posts on my website about zoning, starting with my previous blog post on the different types of zoning systems. In this post, I will be talking about how single-use Euclidean zoning is &#8230; <a href="/2014/05/21/car-dependent-by-design/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="width: 325px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog32-1.jpg"><img style="border: 0px;" alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog32-1.jpg" width="315" height="308" border="0" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Click for larger image</p></div>
<p><strong></strong><em>by Andrew Price<br />
</em><br />
I am writing a series of blog posts on my website about zoning, starting with <a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/blog20140515.php">my previous blog post</a> on the different types of zoning systems. In this post, I will be talking about how single-use Euclidean zoning is distorting market demand, and how many places are automobile dependent by design. If you do not know me by now, I am &#8216;traditional urbanist&#8217; &#8211; I advocate for pleasant fine-grained, human-scaled, organic urbanism. Anything that goes against this is, in my mind, a very bad idea. I will also present one possible alternative approach to Euclidean zoning that our towns and cities can easily transition over to.</p>
<p><strong>What we asked for</strong></p>
<p>I will be referencing the zoning system in Conway, Arkansas as an example, not because I am picking on you Conway, but because I live here and it is much easier to reference a place where I have lived.</p>
<p>You could argue that we live in a free market country. That all of our decisions are based on what people want &#8211; that Conway is sprawled because the people want the city to be sprawled, and that Conway is automobile dependent because people want to drive.</p>
<p>That is a bunch of baloney.<span id="more-1211"></span></p>
<p>Conway, like most cities around the country, is that way by design. The development pattern we planned for is ultimately the development pattern we got. Everyone else is just responding rationally by building what you wanted them to build.</p>
<p>Conway, Arkansas, uses single-use Euclidean zoning for virtually all but a small patch of blocks downtown. Each zone is assigned a use &#8211; as well as some &#8216;engineering standards&#8217; (setback, spacing, height, yard, and parking requirements.) For reference, you can download Conway&#8217;s zoning code from its <a href="http://www.conwayplanning.org/pdfs_and_docs/ords/ZON_ORD.pdf">Planning and Development website</a>.</p>
<p>Above is the zoning map for Conway &#8211; it is very colorful. One thing you will notice is the scale. There is a whole lot of white with a bit of blue, gray, and red &#8211; mostly clumped together. Let&#8217;s zoom up on a specific neighborhood;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-1.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-1.jpg" width="450" border="0" /></a></p>
<p>I can see a lot of white R-1 residential (which means single family detached residential properties) grouped together along cul-de-sacs and disconnected streets that connect to the odd blue C-2 (suburban commercial) properties and red C-3 properties (&#8220;to encourage the development of recognizable, attractive groupings of facilities to serve persons traveling by automobile&#8221; &#8211; quoted from the <a href="http://www.conwayplanning.org/pdfs_and_docs/ords/ZON_ORD.pdf">planning ordinance</a>, page 53) along two commercial corridors (one at the bottom and one at the top.)</p>
<p>The scale of the diagrams &#8211; the distance between the different uses &#8211; are at an automobile scale. A common reason people drive is that distances are too far to walk &#8211; the other is that it is too dangerous. We can solve one problem by building sidewalks, but since our plan spaces out land uses, only very few people will ever live within walking distance of a destination &#8211; so rarely would anyone in this neighborhood attempt to walk.</p>
<p>The shops within walking distance happen to be zoned C-3, of course, and have been built in a form that targets motorists. If everyone else drives there &#8211; why do you want to be the only one that walks?</p>
<p>If we look at East Oak Street&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-2.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-2.jpg" width="450" border="0" /></a></p>
<p>&#8230;we would be forgiven for thinking that auto-oriented retail was the only thing that can prosper in our city. But, why?</p>
<p>Perhaps it is because someone zoned it C-3&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-3.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-3.jpg" width="450" border="0" /></a></p>
<p>&#8230;&#8221;to encourage the development of recognizable, attractive groupings of facilities to serve persons traveling by automobile.&#8221; We got what we asked for.</p>
<p>What we are zoning for is what we are asking to be built there (or let it sit vacant until there is demand to build that &#8211; as we see with all of the empty industrial properties around the city.) There is nothing about our cities that is inevitable or unchangeable. Everything is the way it is because of we made choices at some point for it to be that way.</p>
<p>If we want our towns and cities to be less automobile-oriented then we cannot keep doing more of the same &#8211; or we will get more of the same. If we continue to zone for automobile-oriented uses at automobile scales than we are going to continue to attract automobile-oriented development. It is that simple. Developers and investors are only responding rationally by building what you are asking them to build.</p>
<p>Technically, any property owner can petition their city to get their property rezoned. Rezoning can be a slow process, and whether your rezoning is granted depends on the traffic engineer&#8217;s and planning commission&#8217;s long-range plan. Without adequate convincing, most council members would prefer to vote erring on the conservative side of keeping the existing zone. The rezoning process favors those with political pull and the time and resources to get it done &#8211; compare the chances of an outlet mall or subdivision developer asking to rezone a greenfield, to the neighbor that wants to open a small business on the corner of his street &#8211; which is more likely to be approved? This is a huge impediment to <a href="http://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2013/11/25/the-fool-proof-city.html">incremental, organic growth</a> - the type of growth that cannot be predicted or planned for by a city planner behind a desk looking at a map.</p>
<p><strong>An alternative approach<br />
</strong><br />
&#8220;But, Andrew &#8211; how can I prevent a factory from opening up next door?&#8221; &#8220;How will we prevent uncontrolled sprawl?&#8221;  I am going to propose an alternative use-based zoning scheme that tries to keep the advantages (but not the disadvantages) of Euclidean zoning that we can easily transition over to.</p>
<p>What would this zoning scheme look like?</p>
<p>First, we must gather the requirements of our new zoning scheme. For our first set of requirements, we will take the arguments <em>for</em> Euclidean zoning;</p>
<ol>
<li>We must be able to restrict undesirable development next door (a factory next to a house, for example) and maintain property values by guaranteeing that.</li>
<li>We must be able to limit uncontrollable sprawl and horizontal expansion.</li>
<li>Our existing zones need to easily translate over into our new zoning scheme.</li>
</ol>
<p>Since we wish to design something better than Euclidean zoning, our requirements are also to mitigate the negative effects of Euclidean zoning;</p>
<ol>
<li>Euclidean zoning, by setting an exclusive land use, prevents incremental growth and investment that intensifies a property or its use to the next level.</li>
<li>Euclidean zoning may not always respond to market demand for different use types &#8211; for example, industrial or commercial land that sits vacant for decades simply because of its zone or location.</li>
<li>Euclidean zoning micromanages the specific use of each property &#8211; which may not be the most optimal based on its location and market demand.</li>
</ol>
<p>While there are multiple directions in which we can head, for example &#8211; not regulate land use and adapt a form-based code instead, in this blog post I will propose an alternative way to regulate land use &#8211; maximum-use zoning. In traditional Euclidean zoning, we assign an exclusive use to each zone, while in maximum-use zoning we assign a &#8216;maximum use&#8217;.</p>
<p>To describe how maximum-use zoning works I will use a very simple (but dumb) example &#8211; one where each zone corresponds to a simple metric like density or height;<br />
<a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-4.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-4.jpg" border="0" /></a><br />
When we zone a property, we zone the highest that we are willing to tolerate there. For example, if we zone a property &#8220;Rural&#8221; &#8211; it cannot be used for anything but farmland. If we zone a property &#8220;Exurban&#8221; &#8211; we would allow both farmland and low-rise. If we zone a property &#8220;Suburban&#8221; &#8211; we would allow farmland, low-rise, and medium-rise development. We are not forcing medium-rise development, but instead we allow incremental growth and intensification up to the desired maximum density.</p>
<p>However, this overly simplified system fails at our first requirement above &#8211; to be able to restrict undesirable development next door. We are not preventing a warehouse or sports stadium from opening up in a residential neighborhood &#8211; fully acceptable low-rise uses.</p>
<p>A better system would be one where uses and zones are sorted by their &#8216;annoyance level&#8217; &#8211; the higher the zone, the higher the &#8216;annoyance level&#8217;. For example, a store next door may &#8216;annoy&#8217; a homeowner, but a business owner may not mind a house next door. So we will say that businesses have a higher &#8216;annoyance level&#8217; than houses. By breaking down uses by how &#8216;annoying&#8217; they are, we can come up with a simple table of zones and uses;<br />
<a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-5.jpg"><img alt="" src="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/images/blog33-5.jpg" width="630" border="0" /></a><br />
In the residential zone we allow incremental development up to detached houses, and folks that want to live in a purely residential area would find a house in a residential zone. Neighborhood zones would be your typical neighborhoods &#8211; allowing detached houses, but also allowing townhomes, corner stores, churches, schools, and mixtures thereof (such as corner stores where the shop owner lives out the back) &#8211; uses you would typically find in pre-war neighborhoods. In a town zone you would find uses that are typical of a Main Street or a commercial corridor &#8211; we allow both medium-rise urban development as well as auto-oriented development, allowing the market to determine in which direction there is demand for. Business zones are the urban cores of medium and large cities, while industrial zones &#8211; the most annoying of all &#8211; allow absolutely anything to be built there.</p>
<p>The advantage of this system is that it allows for incremental growth &#8211; upzoning an area would never exclude or grandfather in previous uses, but rather allow incremental growth toward the new acceptable uses if there is demand for it. Homeowners purchasing homes within neighborhood zones will be assured that they will never live next to a outlet mall, and this could increase the desirability of neighorhoods as well as increase home values, while to others, it may be desirable living within a town zone close to their place of employment. A retail owner may be concerned that the value of their business would be destroyed if a factory opened next door, and so they locate their business within a town or business zone, while other retailers may find a niche and thrive in industrial zones &#8211; targeting hungry workers and commuters.</p>
<p>I have just presented one, not necessarily the best, alternative to single-use Euclidean zoning that a typical town could easily transition over to.</p>
<h3>Conclusion</h3>
<p>Single-use zoning can distort the supply and demand of property and is far from a free market system. If we zone automobile-oriented uses at automobile scales do not be surprised if the result is an automobile dependent environment. Nothing about this outcome is inevitable though &#8211; it all depends on the choices we make while planning our city.</p>
<p>The question at the root of the topic that we need to ask is - <em>why does your city zone?</em></p>
<p>Over the past half a century or so since your zoning code was implemented - <em>has zoning worked?</em> Has zoning achieved its goals? Has it done more good than harm? What was your town or city like before you implemented zoning? (Was the result so bad back then that you needed zoning?) Is there an alternative approach you could take that could achieve your goals but mitigate the negative effects of your current zoning system?</p>
<p>I have proposed one way you could transition over to a maximum-use zoning system, but there are many alternatives and I encourage anyone out there interested in planning and zoning to innovate and come up with their own alternatives. We need a better approach than the single-use Euclidean zoning system we use today that micromanages uses, limits growth, and distorts demand.</p>
<p>This post is my second in a series on zoning, starting with <a href="http://www.andrewalexanderprice.com/blog20140515.php">my previous blog post</a> on the different types of zoning systems. In the future I am going to deconstruct zoning more, and discuss topics such as how to plan without zoning, rational building height limits, and in particular, discuss what is wrong with Houston (the example often given of a large city without zoning.)</p>
<p><em>(Cross posted from Strong Towns)</em></p>
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